Anthony Cirelli vs Casey Mittelstadt
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Mittelstadt 50.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Last 5: Cirelli 0-5 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
2
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
2
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
49.6% (141)
+0.5%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
54.8% (31)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
100.0% (1)
-63.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +63.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
Home
53.0% (470)
58.7% (92)
Away
45.0% (509)
42.0% (81)
By Period
Cirelli
Mittelstadt
P1
50.6%
47.7%
P2
49.2%
48.2%
P3
47.2%
56.7%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |