Anthony Cirelli vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Stephenson 52.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 61.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Cirelli
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Stephenson
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
3
Cirelli
Stephenson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Stephenson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Cirelli
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
52.0% (867)
-1.9%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
62.1% (248)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
39.5% (185)
-2.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stephenson
Home
53.0% (470)
53.1% (672)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.1% (628)
By Period
Cirelli
Stephenson
P1
50.6%
54.2%
P2
49.2%
50.7%
P3
47.2%
52.0%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |