Anthony Cirelli vs Derek MacKenzie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 72.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 57.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Last 8: Cirelli 3-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Cirelli
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
3
Cirelli
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
54.9% (3,660)
-5.2%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
55.9% (102)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
46.7% (1,158)
-2.9%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Cirelli
MacKenzie
Home
49.6% (3,838)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Cirelli
MacKenzie
P1
49.9%
51.9%
P2
48.7%
53.0%
P3
49.3%
54.0%
OT
51.1%
65.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |