Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Strome 58.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 84.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 60.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Cirelli
Strome
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
6
Cirelli
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
0
Cirelli
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Cirelli
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
56.4% (890)
-6.3%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
66.9% (311)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
41.7% (12)
-5.0%
On even strength, Strome has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
53.0% (470)
55.7% (627)
Away
45.0% (509)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
50.6%
61.7%
P2
49.2%
55.7%
P3
47.2%
60.1%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |