Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Malkin 46.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 84.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 69.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Cirelli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cirelli
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Cirelli
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
45.7% (219)
+4.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
34.6% (26)
+34.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Malkin
Home
53.0% (470)
50.4% (113)
Away
45.0% (509)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Cirelli
Malkin
P1
50.6%
47.7%
P2
49.2%
44.9%
P3
47.2%
40.0%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |