Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.1%). Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs McKegg 49.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.0%
Defensive zone
McKegg 52.5%
Neutral zone
McKegg 51.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Cirelli
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cirelli
McKegg
Last 7: Cirelli 3-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
McKegg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Cirelli
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
2
Cirelli
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
49.1% (1,143)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
50.0% (24)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
48.8% (86)
-5.0%
On power play, Cirelli has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Cirelli
McKegg
Home
49.6% (3,838)
50.4% (554)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Cirelli
McKegg
P1
49.9%
48.7%
P2
48.7%
49.9%
P3
49.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |