Anthony Cirelli vs Hendrix Lapierre
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Lapierre 43.4% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 71.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Cirelli
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
40.9% (264)
+9.2%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
50.0% (6)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
0.0% (1)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Lapierre is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Lapierre
Home
53.0% (470)
44.2% (138)
Away
45.0% (509)
37.6% (133)
By Period
Cirelli
Lapierre
P1
50.6%
55.2%
P2
49.2%
40.6%
P3
47.2%
26.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |