Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Compher 51.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Cirelli
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Cirelli
Compher
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cirelli
Compher
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
5
Cirelli
Compher
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Compher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
53.1% (784)
-3.0%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
54.8% (31)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
36.8% (95)
-0.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Compher
Home
53.0% (470)
51.3% (452)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Cirelli
Compher
P1
50.6%
54.9%
P2
49.2%
49.0%
P3
47.2%
50.6%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |