Anthony Cirelli vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.2%). Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 55.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
12
(34 meetings)
22
12
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
4
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
11
5
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
10
3
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
49.0% (3,852)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
51.3% (351)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
45.7% (35)
-1.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
Home
49.6% (3,838)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Cirelli
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.9%
49.9%
P2
48.7%
50.4%
P3
49.3%
47.2%
OT
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |