Anthony Cirelli vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 89.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 70.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 80.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Cirelli
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
20
(47 meetings)
27
20
Cirelli
Pavelski
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
8
11
Cirelli
Pavelski
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
14
6
Cirelli
Pavelski
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
3
Cirelli
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
53.6% (8,791)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
58.2% (2,122)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
50.9% (1,138)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pavelski
Home
49.6% (3,838)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Cirelli
Pavelski
P1
49.9%
53.5%
P2
48.7%
55.2%
P3
49.3%
53.9%
OT
51.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |