Anthony Cirelli vs Jonathan Toews
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Toews 60.4% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 91.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Cirelli
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Cirelli
Toews
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
62.6% (728)
-12.5%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
59.4% (143)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
46.9% (32)
-10.2%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Toews
Home
53.0% (470)
61.1% (455)
Away
45.0% (509)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Cirelli
Toews
P1
50.6%
59.7%
P2
49.2%
66.7%
P3
47.2%
58.4%
OT
30.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |