Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 57.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Cirelli
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Cirelli
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
31.9% (91)
+18.2%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
64.3% (14)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
0.0% (1)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hayes
Home
53.0% (470)
30.6% (49)
Away
45.0% (509)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Cirelli
Hayes
P1
50.6%
22.9%
P2
49.2%
40.0%
P3
47.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |