Anthony Cirelli vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 93.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 74.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 81.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Cirelli
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Cirelli
Stenlund
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
8
Cirelli
Stenlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Cirelli
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
56.2% (650)
-6.1%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
53.2% (47)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
51.6% (312)
-14.9%
On power play, Cirelli has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stenlund
Home
53.0% (470)
56.9% (483)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Cirelli
Stenlund
P1
50.6%
54.2%
P2
49.2%
53.2%
P3
47.2%
56.9%
OT
30.8%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |