Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 23-12 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 59.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 61.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Cirelli
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
23
(35 meetings)
12
23
Cirelli
Eller
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
5
Cirelli
Eller
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
7
Cirelli
Eller
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
11
Cirelli
Eller
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
51.1% (10,321)
-1.4%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
52.8% (621)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
46.6% (1,759)
-2.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Eller
Home
49.6% (3,838)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Cirelli
Eller
P1
49.9%
51.2%
P2
48.7%
50.1%
P3
49.3%
50.2%
OT
51.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |