Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Couture 47.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 53.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 54.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 51.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Cirelli
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Cirelli
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
49.2% (1,083)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
56.7% (60)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
35.4% (206)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Couture
Home
52.4% (462)
49.6% (713)
Away
50.1% (369)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Cirelli
Couture
P1
50.7%
47.2%
P2
49.6%
45.0%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
51.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |