Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Kasper 50.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 52.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Cirelli
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cirelli
Kasper
Last 7: Cirelli 3-4 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kasper
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
3
Cirelli
Kasper
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
51.4% (366)
-1.3%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
33.3% (9)
+35.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
31.6% (19)
+5.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kasper
Home
53.0% (470)
51.5% (194)
Away
45.0% (509)
48.5% (200)
By Period
Cirelli
Kasper
P1
50.6%
54.1%
P2
49.2%
52.1%
P3
47.2%
43.4%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |