Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 69.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 52.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Cirelli
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
60.8% (362)
-10.7%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
83.3% (6)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
56.2% (146)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kastelic
Home
53.0% (470)
60.3% (242)
Away
45.0% (509)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Cirelli
Kastelic
P1
50.6%
58.9%
P2
49.2%
57.3%
P3
47.2%
64.0%
OT
30.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%