Anthony Cirelli vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 57.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 63.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
46.8% (248)
+3.3%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
62.5% (8)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
43.8% (16)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rasmussen
Home
53.0% (470)
50.0% (98)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Cirelli
Rasmussen
P1
50.6%
40.2%
P2
49.2%
55.8%
P3
47.2%
43.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |