Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Geekie 47.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Cirelli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cirelli
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Cirelli
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
46.7% (120)
+3.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
48.6% (35)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
0.0% (3)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Geekie
Home
53.0% (470)
46.8% (77)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Cirelli
Geekie
P1
50.6%
42.4%
P2
49.2%
49.1%
P3
47.2%
47.6%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |