Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.4% vs Geekie 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 76.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.6%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Cirelli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Cirelli
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (468)
44.4% (99)
+5.2%
Power Play
69.9% (73)
48.3% (29)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (169)
0.0% (3)
+34.9%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Cirelli is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Cirelli shoots left. Geekie is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Geekie
Home
54.7% (316)
43.7% (71)
Away
42.9% (394)
45.0% (60)
By Period
Cirelli
Geekie
P1
49.4%
39.2%
P2
48.9%
50.0%
P3
46.9%
42.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
48.2%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |