Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Foligno 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 58.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 52.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Cirelli
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cirelli
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Cirelli
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Cirelli
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
49.5% (291)
+0.6%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
55.8% (43)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
47.2% (53)
-10.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Foligno
Home
53.0% (470)
48.9% (178)
Away
45.0% (509)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Cirelli
Foligno
P1
50.6%
43.0%
P2
49.2%
55.9%
P3
47.2%
50.0%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |