Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 68.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Cirelli
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
45.9% (697)
+4.2%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
47.9% (117)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
48.0% (25)
-11.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Schmaltz
Home
53.0% (470)
44.9% (434)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Cirelli
Schmaltz
P1
50.6%
41.5%
P2
49.2%
46.7%
P3
47.2%
51.1%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |