Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 81.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 66.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Cirelli
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Cirelli
Suzuki
Last 10: Cirelli 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
8
Cirelli
Suzuki
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Cirelli
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
51.3% (945)
-1.2%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
50.7% (282)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
40.3% (67)
-3.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Suzuki
Home
53.0% (470)
51.0% (637)
Away
45.0% (509)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Cirelli
Suzuki
P1
50.6%
53.1%
P2
49.2%
47.4%
P3
47.2%
51.3%
OT
30.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |