Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Hischier 55.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 51.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Cirelli
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Cirelli
Hischier
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
5
Cirelli
Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
3
Cirelli
Hischier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
3
Cirelli
Hischier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
55.5% (1,172)
-5.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
64.5% (265)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
43.9% (164)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hischier
Home
53.0% (470)
56.8% (791)
Away
45.0% (509)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Cirelli
Hischier
P1
50.6%
56.0%
P2
49.2%
58.6%
P3
47.2%
53.5%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |