Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Acciari 50.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 78.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Cirelli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cirelli
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Cirelli
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
52.7% (313)
-2.6%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
33.3% (18)
+35.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
49.7% (195)
-13.0%
On power play, Cirelli has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Acciari
Home
53.0% (470)
52.6% (291)
Away
45.0% (509)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Cirelli
Acciari
P1
50.6%
53.7%
P2
49.2%
51.1%
P3
47.2%
48.5%
OT
30.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |