Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Krebs 45.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 60.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 56.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 64.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Cirelli
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cirelli
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
44.4% (403)
+5.7%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
33.3% (6)
+35.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
45.0% (20)
-8.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Krebs
Home
53.0% (470)
46.3% (205)
Away
45.0% (509)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Cirelli
Krebs
P1
50.6%
47.0%
P2
49.2%
45.4%
P3
47.2%
40.7%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |