Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 50.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Cirelli
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Cirelli
Nash
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
3
Cirelli
Nash
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
6
Cirelli
Nash
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.0%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
51.0% (249)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
44.9% (550)
-1.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nash
Home
49.6% (3,838)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Cirelli
Nash
P1
49.9%
49.0%
P2
48.7%
47.9%
P3
49.3%
48.0%
OT
51.1%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |