Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 68.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 73.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 76.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Cirelli
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cirelli
Kesler
Last 6: Cirelli 4-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.7%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
60.7% (1,437)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kesler
Home
49.6% (3,838)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Cirelli
Kesler
P1
49.9%
56.5%
P2
48.7%
55.9%
P3
49.3%
56.1%
OT
51.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |