Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Strome 45.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 64.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 61.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cirelli
Strome
Last 5: Cirelli 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Cirelli
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
45.4% (315)
+4.7%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
35.7% (28)
+33.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
50.0% (4)
-13.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
53.0% (470)
42.6% (188)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
50.6%
38.6%
P2
49.2%
48.4%
P3
47.2%
46.2%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |