Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 59.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 51.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.8%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Cirelli
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Cirelli
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
39.0% (77)
+11.1%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
35.4% (48)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
40.9% (22)
-4.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Reinhart
Home
53.0% (470)
35.7% (84)
Away
45.0% (509)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Cirelli
Reinhart
P1
50.6%
42.6%
P2
49.2%
34.7%
P3
47.2%
37.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |