Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 69.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.7%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Cirelli
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Cirelli
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
42.6% (54)
+7.5%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
33.3% (6)
+35.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
40.0% (15)
-3.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Jarvis
Home
53.0% (470)
43.6% (39)
Away
45.0% (509)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Cirelli
Jarvis
P1
50.6%
36.0%
P2
49.2%
48.3%
P3
47.2%
36.8%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |