Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Wright 41.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 73.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 92.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 87.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Cirelli
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Cirelli
Wright
Last 5: Cirelli 5-0 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
39.7% (461)
+10.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
41.0% (61)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
0.0% (1)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Wright
Home
53.0% (470)
39.5% (286)
Away
45.0% (509)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Cirelli
Wright
P1
50.6%
40.2%
P2
49.2%
36.7%
P3
47.2%
42.9%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |