Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Crosby 55.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 80.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 64.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Cirelli
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Cirelli
Crosby
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Cirelli
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
1
Cirelli
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Cirelli
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
53.3% (1,025)
-3.2%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
64.7% (249)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
60.0% (15)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Crosby
Home
53.0% (470)
56.9% (675)
Away
45.0% (509)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Cirelli
Crosby
P1
50.6%
55.1%
P2
49.2%
53.1%
P3
47.2%
58.5%
OT
30.8%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |