Anthony Cirelli vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.9%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 70.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Cirelli
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Stamkos
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Cirelli
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Cirelli
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
49.3% (670)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
53.7% (121)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
33.3% (3)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stamkos
Home
46.7% (649)
54.0% (400)
Away
53.5% (643)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Cirelli
Stamkos
P1
50.1%
48.6%
P2
51.1%
54.5%
P3
48.5%
45.4%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.1%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |