Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Stützle 52.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 80.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Neutral zone
Stützle 58.0%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Cirelli
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Stützle
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Cirelli
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
52.7% (501)
-2.6%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
54.2% (59)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
56.3% (32)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Stützle
Home
53.0% (470)
51.9% (285)
Away
45.0% (509)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Cirelli
Stützle
P1
50.6%
51.6%
P2
49.2%
55.4%
P3
47.2%
52.2%
OT
30.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |