Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 51.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 51.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 56.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Cirelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cirelli
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Cirelli
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
53.2% (201)
-3.1%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
60.0% (25)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
44.4% (9)
-7.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Seguin
Home
53.0% (470)
56.3% (126)
Away
45.0% (509)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Cirelli
Seguin
P1
50.6%
44.3%
P2
49.2%
52.1%
P3
47.2%
62.5%
OT
30.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |