Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Rask 50.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 53.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 80.6%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 60.8%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Cirelli
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Cirelli
Rask
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
4
Cirelli
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Cirelli
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
50.0% (4,428)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
54.3% (363)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
35.2% (54)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rask
Home
49.6% (3,838)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Cirelli
Rask
P1
49.9%
50.7%
P2
48.7%
48.9%
P3
49.3%
50.7%
OT
51.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |