Antoine Vermette vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Vermette wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 57.1% vs McDavid 47.8% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 67.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Vermette
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Vermette
McDavid
Last 10: Vermette 2-8 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
6
Vermette
McDavid
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
7
2
Vermette
McDavid
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
4
Vermette
McDavid
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (7,621)
47.7% (8,394)
+9.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,575)
52.1% (374)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (1,217)
43.8% (281)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Vermette is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,658).
Vermette shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Vermette
McDavid
Home
58.3% (5,008)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
56.1% (5,432)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Vermette
McDavid
P1
56.9%
46.5%
P2
58.4%
48.7%
P3
56.2%
48.3%
OT
55.4%
42.2%
Final 5 min
56.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
57.2%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |