Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.0%). Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Tkachuk 50.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 81.9%
Defensive zone
Lundell 87.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 53.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Lundell
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Lundell
Tkachuk
Last 10: Lundell 6-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
5
Lundell
Tkachuk
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
7
0
Lundell
Tkachuk
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
3
Lundell
Tkachuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
48.9% (1,574)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
51.4% (1,303)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
45.0% (20)
-0.2%
On power play, Lundell has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Home / Away
Lundell
Tkachuk
Home
50.7% (2,304)
50.7% (1,435)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
49.3% (1,462)
By Period
Lundell
Tkachuk
P1
52.0%
49.4%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
49.0%
49.1%
OT
48.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |