Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.4%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Larkin 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 52.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.8%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lundell
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lundell
Larkin
Last 9: Lundell 6-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
1
Lundell
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Lundell
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
51.1% (915)
+1.6%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
59.4% (261)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
48.2% (168)
-0.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Lundell
Larkin
Home
51.0% (574)
51.7% (686)
Away
52.6% (546)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Lundell
Larkin
P1
52.9%
52.5%
P2
55.8%
52.7%
P3
47.1%
51.4%
OT
46.2%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |