Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Staal 54.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 67.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lundell 66.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Lundell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Lundell
Staal
Last 10: Lundell 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Lundell
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lundell
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
56.2% (989)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
66.0% (159)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
42.7% (253)
+4.6%
On power play, Staal has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Lundell
Staal
Home
51.0% (574)
55.4% (699)
Away
52.6% (546)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Lundell
Staal
P1
52.9%
55.7%
P2
55.8%
54.7%
P3
47.1%
53.4%
OT
46.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |