Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 63.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lundell
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundell
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
53.7% (555)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
50.0% (14)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
54.3% (46)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Lundell
Jankowski
Home
51.0% (574)
53.2% (331)
Away
52.6% (546)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Lundell
Jankowski
P1
52.9%
52.7%
P2
55.8%
55.8%
P3
47.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |