Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs McTavish 49.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 67.3%
Defensive zone
Lundell 56.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 60.2%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Lundell
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lundell
McTavish
Last 7: Lundell 2-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Lundell
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Lundell
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
47.6% (618)
+5.1%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
58.3% (103)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
33.3% (6)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Lundell
McTavish
Home
51.0% (574)
52.2% (391)
Away
52.6% (546)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Lundell
McTavish
P1
52.9%
50.2%
P2
55.8%
47.7%
P3
47.1%
49.2%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |