Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Frost 56.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.7%
Defensive zone
Lundell 73.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Lundell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lundell
Frost
Last 6: Lundell 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Lundell
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
56.0% (755)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
60.1% (173)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
88.9% (9)
-41.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Lundell
Frost
Home
51.0% (574)
57.3% (497)
Away
52.6% (546)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Lundell
Frost
P1
52.9%
60.2%
P2
55.8%
56.0%
P3
47.1%
54.8%
OT
46.2%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |