Anton Lundell vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.1%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 70.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Lundell
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Lundell
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Lundell
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
49.7% (1,038)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
63.7% (157)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
34.4% (32)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundell is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Lundell shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Lundell
MacKinnon
Home
51.0% (574)
53.1% (618)
Away
52.6% (546)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Lundell
MacKinnon
P1
52.9%
49.3%
P2
55.8%
53.0%
P3
47.1%
50.7%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |