Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Dowd 48.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 79.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Lundell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lundell
Dowd
Last 7: Lundell 3-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
4
Lundell
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
51.0% (671)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
0.0% (2)
+52.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
41.5% (224)
+5.8%
On power play, Lundell has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lundell is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Lundell shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Lundell
Dowd
Home
51.0% (574)
48.2% (471)
Away
52.6% (546)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Lundell
Dowd
P1
52.9%
48.3%
P2
55.8%
46.8%
P3
47.1%
51.0%
OT
46.2%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |