Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.3%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs McLeod 52.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 65.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 68.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lundell
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Lundell
McLeod
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lundell
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
4
Lundell
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
52.9% (904)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
57.6% (59)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
49.0% (241)
-4.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Lundell
McLeod
Home
51.2% (527)
51.8% (612)
Away
54.8% (496)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Lundell
McLeod
P1
53.7%
55.4%
P2
51.7%
50.8%
P3
54.1%
51.6%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |