Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.5%
Defensive zone
Lundell 65.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lundell
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Lundell
Crosby
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
7
4
Lundell
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Lundell
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
53.3% (1,025)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
64.7% (249)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
60.0% (15)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Lundell
Crosby
Home
51.0% (574)
56.9% (675)
Away
52.6% (546)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Lundell
Crosby
P1
52.9%
55.1%
P2
55.8%
53.1%
P3
47.1%
58.5%
OT
46.2%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |