Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Hertl 54.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Lundell
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Lundell
Hertl
Last 10: Lundell 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
9
Lundell
Hertl
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
7
0
Lundell
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
53.9% (8,303)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
59.2% (1,995)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
46.3% (806)
-1.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Lundell
Hertl
Home
50.7% (2,304)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Lundell
Hertl
P1
52.0%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
54.2%
P3
49.0%
55.3%
OT
48.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |