Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.8% vs Nosek 53.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 67.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Lundell
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundell
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Lundell
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (3,346)
55.0% (2,608)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.0% (336)
43.5% (46)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (478)
48.6% (397)
-3.8%
On power play, Lundell has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lundell is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,759).
Lundell shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Home / Away
Lundell
Nosek
Home
50.8% (2,228)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
51.0% (1,932)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Lundell
Nosek
P1
52.2%
52.5%
P2
51.1%
54.7%
P3
49.5%
54.6%
OT
48.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
50.9%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |