Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Zegras 39.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 76.9%
Defensive zone
Lundell 97.1%
Neutral zone
Lundell 91.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Lundell
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lundell
Zegras
Last 8: Lundell 7-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
39.0% (1,703)
+12.1%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
38.5% (148)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
25.0% (8)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Lundell
Zegras
Home
50.7% (2,304)
40.5% (908)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Lundell
Zegras
P1
52.0%
40.0%
P2
51.4%
38.6%
P3
49.0%
38.2%
OT
48.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |